Tropical Storm PAUL

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TROPICAL STORM PAUL ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP172006
800 AM PDT WED OCT 25 2006

...PAUL CLINGING TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AS IT MOVES AWAY FROM
BAJA CALIFORNIA AND APPROACHES MAINLAND MEXICO...
 
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM MAZATLAN TO ALTATA. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
 
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED
ALL WARNINGS FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 800 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAUL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.8 WEST OR ABOUT 70
MILES...115 KM...EAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO AND ABOUT 155 MILES
...245 KM...WEST OF MAZATLAN MEXICO.
 
PAUL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS TAKING
THE CENTER OF PAUL INTO MAINLAND MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.
 
PAUL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3
INCHES OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...SOUTH OF
LA PAZ. PAUL IS ALSO EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN OVER
THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO FROM TEACAPAN TO MAZATLAN AND
CULIACAN...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES
OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SIERRA MADRE OCCIDENTAL.
 
REPEATING THE 800 AM PDT POSITION...23.0 N...108.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1100 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200
PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/PASCH
 
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