ZCZC MIATCMEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE PAUL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172006 0300 UTC MON OCT 23 2006 AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM CABO SAN LUCAS NORTHWARD TO AGUA BLANCA ON THE WEST COAST...AND TO LA PAZ ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO ALONG THE SEA OF CORTES ON MONDAY. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 111.1W AT 23/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW. 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 111.1W AT 23/0300Z AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 110.9W FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 17.2N 111.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 19.2N 111.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 21.3N 110.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 35SW 35NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 23.5N 109.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 35SW 35NW. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 27.5N 104.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 111.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 23-Oct-2006 02:30:04 UTC