ZCZC MIATCMEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM PAUL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172006 2100 UTC SUN OCT 22 2006 INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF PAUL. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 110.7W AT 22/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 25NE 35SE 35SW 35NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 110.7W AT 22/2100Z AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 110.1W FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 17.0N 111.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 18.5N 111.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 20.4N 111.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 23.0N 110.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 60SE 45SW 45NW. 34 KT... 75NE 120SE 90SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 25.5N 107.5W...DISSIPATING INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 110.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z $$ FORECASTER RHOME/PASCH NNNN
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