Tropical Depression OLIVIA

ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLIVIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7      
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP162006               
0900 UTC WED OCT 11 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLIVIA WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 124.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 174N 1235W 34 16   5(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 12 174N 1235W 50  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 12 174N 1235W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 180N 1217W 34  1   9(10)   2(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 24 180N 1217W 50  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 24 180N 1217W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 183N 1197W 34  X   1( 1)   8( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 36 183N 1197W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 36 183N 1197W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 187N 1178W 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 48 187N 1178W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 48 187N 1178W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 72 195N 1145W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 72 195N 1145W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 72 195N 1145W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     25      25      20      20       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER KNABB/WILLIS                                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
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