ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162006 0300 UTC TUE OCT 10 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 137N 1278W 34 33 14(47) 2(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) 12 137N 1278W 50 2 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 12 137N 1278W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 145N 1277W 34 13 24(37) 7(44) 1(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46) 24 145N 1277W 50 1 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 24 145N 1277W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 155N 1265W 34 1 8( 9) 20(29) 8(37) 1(38) X(38) X(38) 36 155N 1265W 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 36 155N 1265W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 168N 1246W 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 16(21) 7(28) X(28) X(28) 48 168N 1246W 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 48 168N 1246W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 72 190N 1205W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 3(15) 1(16) 72 190N 1205W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 72 190N 1205W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 215N 1165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) 96 215N 1165W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 215N 1165W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 245N 1125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 120 245N 1125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 120 245N 1125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 40 40 40 35 30 30 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER PASCH NNNN
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Page last modified: Tuesday, 10-Oct-2006 02:35:03 UTC