Tropical Depression SIXTEEN-E

ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2   
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP162006               
0300 UTC TUE OCT 10 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E WAS LOCATED    
NEAR LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM        
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                    
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
LA PAZ         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
LORETO         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 137N 1278W 34 33  14(47)   2(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)
 12 137N 1278W 50  2   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 12 137N 1278W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 145N 1277W 34 13  24(37)   7(44)   1(45)   1(46)   X(46)   X(46)
 24 145N 1277W 50  1   5( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 24 145N 1277W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 155N 1265W 34  1   8( 9)  20(29)   8(37)   1(38)   X(38)   X(38)
 36 155N 1265W 50  X   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 36 155N 1265W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 48 168N 1246W 34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)  16(21)   7(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 48 168N 1246W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 48 168N 1246W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
 72 190N 1205W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   3(15)   1(16)
 72 190N 1205W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 72 190N 1205W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 215N 1165W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   3(10)
 96 215N 1165W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 96 215N 1165W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 245N 1125W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
120 245N 1125W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
120 245N 1125W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     40      40      40      35      30      30
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN