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Tropical Depression SIXTEEN-E


ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1   
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP162006               
2100 UTC MON OCT 09 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E WAS LOCATED    
NEAR LATITUDE 12.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM        
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                    
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 132N 1281W 34 34  12(46)   3(49)   1(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)
 12 132N 1281W 50  2   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 12 132N 1281W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 137N 1283W 34 20  19(39)   6(45)   3(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)
 24 137N 1283W 50  1   5( 6)   2( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 24 137N 1283W 64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 36 145N 1278W 34  5  16(21)  12(33)   7(40)   1(41)   X(41)   X(41)
 36 145N 1278W 50  X   2( 2)   5( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 36 145N 1278W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 48 160N 1260W 34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)  17(22)   6(28)   1(29)   X(29)
 48 160N 1260W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 48 160N 1260W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
 72 180N 1220W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   4(16)   1(17)
 72 180N 1220W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 72 180N 1220W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 205N 1185W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   4(12)
 96 205N 1185W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 96 205N 1185W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 235N 1145W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)
120 235N 1145W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
120 235N 1145W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     40      40      40      35      35      35
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Monday, 09-Oct-2006 20:35:03 UTC