Tropical Depression NORMAN
ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORMAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152006
1500 UTC SUN OCT 15 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORMAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
SAN BLAS 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
P VALLARTA 34 3 4( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 16 3(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
MANZANILLO 34 13 2(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 197N 1046W 34 18 3(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
12 197N 1046W 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
12 197N 1046W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 207N 1045W 34 4 6(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
24 207N 1045W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 207N 1045W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
36 209N 1042W 34 3 3( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
36 209N 1042W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 209N 1042W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 30 20 20 0 0 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/KNABB
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