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Tropical Storm NORMAN (Text)

ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM NORMAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7           
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152006               
1500 UTC TUE OCT 10 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORMAN WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
ISLA CLARION   34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 178N 1175W 34 52   4(56)   1(57)   X(57)   1(58)   X(58)   X(58)
 12 178N 1175W 50  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 12 178N 1175W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 187N 1166W 34  4  21(25)   3(28)   2(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 24 187N 1166W 50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 24 187N 1166W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 195N 1156W 34  X   7( 7)   9(16)   3(19)   3(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 36 195N 1156W 50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 36 195N 1156W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 48 200N 1147W 34  X   2( 2)   6( 8)   5(13)   3(16)   1(17)   X(17)
 48 200N 1147W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 48 200N 1147W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 210N 1130W 34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   5(10)   1(11)   X(11)
 72 210N 1130W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 72 210N 1130W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 220N 1115W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)
 96 220N 1115W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 96 220N 1115W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     35      30      30      25      20       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER ROBERTS/FRANKLIN                                           
                                                                    
                                                                    
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