ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM NORMAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152006 0300 UTC TUE OCT 10 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORMAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) CULICAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) ISLA CLARION 34 1 4( 5) 3( 8) 2(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 176N 1178W 34 80 5(85) 1(86) X(86) 1(87) X(87) X(87) 12 176N 1178W 50 17 8(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) 12 176N 1178W 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 24 186N 1173W 34 26 34(60) 7(67) 1(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) 24 186N 1173W 50 2 15(17) 3(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) 24 186N 1173W 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 36 199N 1163W 34 2 15(17) 19(36) 5(41) 2(43) X(43) X(43) 36 199N 1163W 50 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 1(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) 36 199N 1163W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 48 208N 1153W 34 1 4( 5) 12(17) 9(26) 4(30) 1(31) X(31) 48 208N 1153W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 48 208N 1153W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 72 225N 1130W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 5(10) 2(12) X(12) 72 225N 1130W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 72 225N 1130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 250N 1105W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 96 250N 1105W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 250N 1105W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 50 50 45 40 25 20 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER RHOME/PASCH NNNN
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Page last modified: Tuesday, 10-Oct-2006 02:35:03 UTC