Tropical Depression FIFTEEN-E
ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152006
0900 UTC MON OCT 09 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
ISLA CLARION 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) 1(10)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 163N 1181W 34 32 13(45) 2(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47)
12 163N 1181W 50 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
12 163N 1181W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 176N 1182W 34 5 30(35) 7(42) 1(43) X(43) X(43) X(43)
24 176N 1182W 50 X 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
24 176N 1182W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 187N 1178W 34 1 13(14) 16(30) 4(34) 2(36) X(36) X(36)
36 187N 1178W 50 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
36 187N 1178W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 196N 1172W 34 X 4( 4) 11(15) 8(23) 4(27) X(27) 1(28)
48 196N 1172W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
48 196N 1172W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 210N 1155W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) 6(13) 2(15) 1(16)
72 210N 1155W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
72 210N 1155W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 225N 1135W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9)
96 225N 1135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 225N 1135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 240N 1115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
120 240N 1115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 240N 1115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 40 40 35 30 25 20
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
NNNN