Tropical Depression NORMAN

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORMAN DISCUSSION NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152006
200 PM PDT SUN OCT 15 2006
 
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHWEST MEXICO HAVE NOT
PROVIDED ANY CONCLUSIVE EVIDENCE AS TO WHETHER OR NOT THE CENTER OF
NORMAN MOVED INLAND...AND THE DATA SUGGEST THAT NORMAN LACKS A
CLOSED CIRCULATION.  THE SATELLITE APPEARANCE HAS BECOME ELONGATED
AND RESEMBLES THAT OF AN OPEN TROUGH RATHER THAN A TROPICAL
CYCLONE.  MICROWAVE DATA DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS HAVE ALSO
PROVIDED NO INDICATION OF A CIRCULATION CENTER.  BASED ON THESE
DATA...NORMAN IS BEING DECLARED DISSIPATING ALONG THE COAST OF
MEXICO NEAR MANZANILLO...AND THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.
 
THE LARGE AND BROAD SURFACE TROUGH REMAINS ACROSS SOUTHWEST
MEXICO...AND IT COULD REMAIN IN PLACE FOR ANOTHER DAY OR SO.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A SIGNIFICANT
HAZARD...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW.  THIS RAINFALL HAS
THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES OVER AREAS OF
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
 
THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON NORMAN UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      15/2100Z 19.2N 104.7W    30 KT...DISSIPATING
 12HR VT     16/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
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FORECASTER BROWN/KNABB
 
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