ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM MIRIAM WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142006 0300 UTC SUN SEP 17 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MIRIAM WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) CULICAN 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 1 4( 5) 4( 9) 2(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) ISLA CLARION 34 75 2(77) 1(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) ISLA CLARION 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 188N 1140W 34 42 18(60) 3(63) 1(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) 12 188N 1140W 50 5 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) 12 188N 1140W 64 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 24 195N 1133W 34 10 26(36) 12(48) 2(50) 1(51) X(51) X(51) 24 195N 1133W 50 1 5( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) 24 195N 1133W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 206N 1130W 34 2 9(11) 21(32) 5(37) 2(39) 1(40) X(40) 36 206N 1130W 50 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) 36 206N 1130W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 216N 1131W 34 1 3( 4) 14(18) 9(27) 5(32) X(32) X(32) 48 216N 1131W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) 48 216N 1131W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 72 231N 1137W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 6(10) 7(17) 2(19) X(19) 72 231N 1137W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 72 231N 1137W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 245N 1145W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 3(11) X(11) 96 245N 1145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 96 245N 1145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 120 260N 1155W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) 120 260N 1155W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 120 260N 1155W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 40 40 45 40 35 25 20 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER FIORINO/STEWART NNNN
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Page last modified: Sunday, 17-Sep-2006 02:55:03 UTC