Tropical Depression FOURTEEN-E
ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E
SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142006
1200 UTC SAT SEP 16 2006
AT 1200Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
LA PAZ 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
CULICAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 4( 4) 9(13) 3(16) 2(18) 1(19) X(19)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
ISLA CLARION 34 12 9(21) 3(24) X(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25)
ISLA CLARION 50 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 179N 1140W 34 34 12(46) 3(49) X(49) X(49) 1(50) X(50)
12 179N 1140W 50 2 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
12 179N 1140W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 189N 1132W 34 5 29(34) 9(43) 2(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46)
24 189N 1132W 50 X 6( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
24 189N 1132W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 198N 1127W 34 1 15(16) 19(35) 4(39) 2(41) 1(42) X(42)
36 198N 1127W 50 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11)
36 198N 1127W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 208N 1127W 34 X 6( 6) 16(22) 7(29) 5(34) X(34) 1(35)
48 208N 1127W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
48 208N 1127W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
72 225N 1135W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 8(17) 2(19) 1(20)
72 225N 1135W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
72 225N 1135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 240N 1145W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 6( 8) 3(11) 1(12)
96 240N 1145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
96 240N 1145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 260N 1155W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7)
120 260N 1155W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 260N 1155W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 40 45 40 35 30 25
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB
NNNN