Tropical Depression FOURTEEN-E
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142006
1500 UTC SAT SEP 16 2006
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 114.2W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 114.2W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 114.4W
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 18.3N 113.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 60SE 90SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 19.3N 112.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 60SE 90SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 20.4N 112.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 75SE 100SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 21.2N 112.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 75SE 100SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 23.0N 114.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 60SE 90SW 30NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 24.5N 115.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 27.0N 116.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 114.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
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FORECASTER BEVEN/MAINELLI
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