ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE LANE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132006
1500 UTC SAT SEP 16 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LANE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.5
NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 110
KTS...125 MPH...205 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 4 4( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
LA PAZ 34 4 5( 9) 2(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
LORETO 34 2 3( 5) 4( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
HERMOSILLO 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BAHIA KINO 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GUAYMAS 34 1 4( 5) 2( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
HUATABAMPO 34 3 11(14) 5(19) 4(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
HUATABAMPO 50 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
HUATABAMPO 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LOS MOCHIS 34 18 27(45) 2(47) 2(49) X(49) X(49) X(49)
LOS MOCHIS 50 2 9(11) 2(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
LOS MOCHIS 64 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CULICAN 34 39 11(50) 1(51) 1(52) X(52) X(52) X(52)
CULICAN 50 5 7(12) 1(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
CULICAN 64 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MAZATLAN 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MAZATLAN 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SAN BLAS 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
P VALLARTA 34 2 X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 248N 1074W 34 96 2(98) X(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 248N 1074W 50 81 6(87) 1(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
12 248N 1074W 64 46 12(58) 1(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59)
24 259N 1076W 34 60 25(85) 2(87) 1(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
24 259N 1076W 50 15 30(45) 2(47) 1(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
24 259N 1076W 64 3 15(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
36 268N 1079W 34 11 38(49) 5(54) 3(57) X(57) X(57) X(57)
36 268N 1079W 50 2 11(13) 4(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
36 268N 1079W 64 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
48 278N 1082W 34 3 13(16) 7(23) 4(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
48 278N 1082W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
48 278N 1082W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 90 60 35 25 0 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Saturday, 16-Sep-2006 14:50:03 UTC