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Hurricane LANE


ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE LANE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12                  
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132006               
1500 UTC SAT SEP 16 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LANE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.5
NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 110  
KTS...125 MPH...205 KM/HR.                                          
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CABO SAN LUCAS 34  3   3( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34  4   4( 8)   X( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
LA PAZ         34  4   5( 9)   2(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
LORETO         34  2   3( 5)   4( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
HERMOSILLO     34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BAHIA KINO     34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GUAYMAS        34  1   4( 5)   2( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
HUATABAMPO     34  3  11(14)   5(19)   4(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
HUATABAMPO     50  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
HUATABAMPO     64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
LOS MOCHIS     34 18  27(45)   2(47)   2(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)
LOS MOCHIS     50  2   9(11)   2(13)   2(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
LOS MOCHIS     64  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
CULICAN        34 39  11(50)   1(51)   1(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)
CULICAN        50  5   7(12)   1(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
CULICAN        64  1   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
MAZATLAN       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MAZATLAN       50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
SAN BLAS       34  2   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
P VALLARTA     34  2   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ISLAS MARIAS   34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 248N 1074W 34 96   2(98)   X(98)   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 248N 1074W 50 81   6(87)   1(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)
 12 248N 1074W 64 46  12(58)   1(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)
 
 24 259N 1076W 34 60  25(85)   2(87)   1(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)
 24 259N 1076W 50 15  30(45)   2(47)   1(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)
 24 259N 1076W 64  3  15(18)   1(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
 36 268N 1079W 34 11  38(49)   5(54)   3(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)
 36 268N 1079W 50  2  11(13)   4(17)   1(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 36 268N 1079W 64  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
 48 278N 1082W 34  3  13(16)   7(23)   4(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
 48 278N 1082W 50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 48 278N 1082W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     90     60      35      25       0       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Saturday, 16-Sep-2006 14:50:03 UTC