ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL
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HURRICANE LANE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132006
0300 UTC SAT SEP 16 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LANE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.7
NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90
KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 4(10) 4(14)
P ABREOJOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 4 21(25) 12(37) 9(46) 7(53) 2(55) 2(57)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 1 2( 3) 5( 8) 5(13) 4(17) 2(19) 1(20)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 7 25(32) 14(46) 8(54) 7(61) 2(63) 1(64)
SAN JOSE CABO 50 1 5( 6) 7(13) 7(20) 4(24) 1(25) 2(27)
SAN JOSE CABO 64 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 3(11) X(11) 1(12)
LA PAZ 34 2 12(14) 20(34) 13(47) 11(58) 3(61) 2(63)
LA PAZ 50 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 7(15) 6(21) 2(23) 2(25)
LA PAZ 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) 1(10)
LORETO 34 X 2( 2) 9(11) 8(19) 13(32) 5(37) 5(42)
LORETO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 3(10) 2(12)
LORETO 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5)
P PENASCO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 9(11) 3(14) 5(19)
HERMOSILLO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4)
BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 6( 8) 4(12) 6(18)
BAHIA KINO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
BAHIA KINO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
GUAYMAS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 12(21) 6(27) 5(32)
GUAYMAS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 4(10)
GUAYMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5)
HUATABAMPO 34 1 3( 4) 11(15) 14(29) 17(46) 6(52) 2(54)
HUATABAMPO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 8(16) 5(21) 2(23)
HUATABAMPO 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 3( 9) 1(10)
LOS MOCHIS 34 2 11(13) 24(37) 14(51) 15(66) 3(69) 2(71)
LOS MOCHIS 50 X 2( 2) 10(12) 12(24) 10(34) 4(38) 2(40)
LOS MOCHIS 64 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 6(10) 6(16) 2(18) 1(19)
CULICAN 34 4 30(34) 21(55) 11(66) 10(76) 2(78) 2(80)
CULICAN 50 1 9(10) 20(30) 11(41) 7(48) 3(51) 2(53)
CULICAN 64 X 3( 3) 13(16) 8(24) 6(30) 2(32) 1(33)
MAZATLAN 34 90 3(93) 1(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
MAZATLAN 50 33 10(43) 3(46) X(46) 1(47) X(47) X(47)
MAZATLAN 64 10 7(17) 2(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
SAN BLAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SAN BLAS 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
P VALLARTA 34 3 4( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) 3(13) X(13) 1(14)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MANZANILLO 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ISLAS MARIAS 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ISLAS MARIAS 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 230N 1073W 34 97 1(98) X(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 230N 1073W 50 80 6(86) 1(87) 1(88) X(88) X(88) 1(89)
12 230N 1073W 64 47 14(61) 2(63) 1(64) 1(65) X(65) X(65)
24 236N 1077W 34 81 11(92) 2(94) 1(95) 1(96) X(96) 1(97)
24 236N 1077W 50 41 25(66) 5(71) 2(73) 2(75) 1(76) 1(77)
24 236N 1077W 64 12 29(41) 8(49) 2(51) 2(53) 1(54) X(54)
36 243N 1083W 34 27 37(64) 12(76) 5(81) 5(86) 1(87) 1(88)
36 243N 1083W 50 4 27(31) 17(48) 7(55) 4(59) 1(60) 1(61)
36 243N 1083W 64 X 13(13) 16(29) 7(36) 3(39) 1(40) 1(41)
48 252N 1085W 34 4 28(32) 22(54) 11(65) 11(76) 2(78) 2(80)
48 252N 1085W 50 1 7( 8) 17(25) 11(36) 8(44) 3(47) 2(49)
48 252N 1085W 64 X 2( 2) 10(12) 8(20) 5(25) 2(27) 1(28)
72 265N 1085W 34 1 6( 7) 17(24) 14(38) 19(57) 4(61) 1(62)
72 265N 1085W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 11(18) 1(19) 1(20)
72 265N 1085W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
96 277N 1083W 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 10(16) 20(36) 4(40) 2(42)
96 277N 1083W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
96 277N 1083W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
120 292N 1077W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 13(16) 2(18) 2(20)
120 292N 1077W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
120 292N 1077W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 100 110 110 110 65 30 20
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/STEWART
NNNN
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Page last modified: Saturday, 16-Sep-2006 02:45:03 UTC