ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE LANE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132006
2100 UTC FRI SEP 15 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LANE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6
NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70
KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) 4(13)
P ABREOJOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 2 19(21) 16(37) 8(45) 10(55) 1(56) 2(58)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 5(13) 4(17) 1(18) 2(20)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) 1( 8)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 2 23(25) 19(44) 8(52) 9(61) 2(63) 1(64)
SAN JOSE CABO 50 X 4( 4) 8(12) 6(18) 4(22) 2(24) 2(26)
SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) 1( 9)
LA PAZ 34 2 8(10) 21(31) 12(43) 11(54) 4(58) 3(61)
LA PAZ 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) 7(18) 2(20) 2(22)
LA PAZ 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8)
LORETO 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 7(15) 13(28) 5(33) 5(38)
LORETO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9)
LORETO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
P PENASCO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 6( 8) 3(11) 4(15)
BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) 5(14)
BAHIA KINO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 9(16) 6(22) 4(26)
GUAYMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 3( 8)
GUAYMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
HUATABAMPO 34 X 3( 3) 9(12) 10(22) 16(38) 5(43) 3(46)
HUATABAMPO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) 4(14) 2(16)
HUATABAMPO 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6)
LOS MOCHIS 34 1 7( 8) 22(30) 13(43) 13(56) 5(61) 2(63)
LOS MOCHIS 50 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 6(13) 10(23) 3(26) 2(28)
LOS MOCHIS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9) 2(11) 1(12)
CULICAN 34 2 18(20) 29(49) 10(59) 9(68) 4(72) 2(74)
CULICAN 50 X 4( 4) 18(22) 9(31) 9(40) 4(44) 2(46)
CULICAN 64 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 6(15) 6(21) 2(23) 1(24)
MAZATLAN 34 37 36(73) 5(78) 2(80) 2(82) X(82) 1(83)
MAZATLAN 50 2 20(22) 5(27) 1(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29)
MAZATLAN 64 1 5( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)
SAN BLAS 34 54 4(58) 1(59) 1(60) 2(62) X(62) X(62)
SAN BLAS 50 3 1( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
P VALLARTA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
MANZANILLO 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 2( 8)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ISLAS MARIAS 50 74 4(78) 1(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79)
ISLAS MARIAS 64 39 5(44) X(44) 1(45) X(45) X(45) X(45)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 218N 1068W 34 94 3(97) 1(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
12 218N 1068W 50 60 16(76) 1(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) 1(78)
12 218N 1068W 64 26 15(41) 1(42) X(42) 1(43) X(43) X(43)
24 231N 1076W 34 28 55(83) 6(89) X(89) 2(91) X(91) 1(92)
24 231N 1076W 50 2 47(49) 9(58) 2(60) 3(63) X(63) 1(64)
24 231N 1076W 64 X 24(24) 9(33) 1(34) 2(36) 1(37) X(37)
36 240N 1083W 34 3 49(52) 20(72) 4(76) 5(81) 1(82) 2(84)
36 240N 1083W 50 X 17(17) 24(41) 5(46) 5(51) 1(52) 2(54)
36 240N 1083W 64 X 5( 5) 15(20) 5(25) 4(29) 1(30) 1(31)
48 247N 1086W 34 2 26(28) 27(55) 9(64) 8(72) 3(75) 1(76)
48 247N 1086W 50 X 5( 5) 20(25) 10(35) 7(42) 3(45) 2(47)
48 247N 1086W 64 X 1( 1) 11(12) 6(18) 5(23) 3(26) 1(27)
72 260N 1085W 34 1 7( 8) 19(27) 13(40) 14(54) 6(60) 2(62)
72 260N 1085W 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 8(17) 2(19) 1(20)
72 260N 1085W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
96 270N 1085W 34 X 3( 3) 9(12) 9(21) 15(36) 5(41) 3(44)
96 270N 1085W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
96 270N 1085W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
120 285N 1080W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 11(15) 3(18) 2(20)
120 285N 1080W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
120 285N 1080W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 80 90 95 95 75 30 20
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 15-Sep-2006 20:35:03 UTC