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TROPICAL STORM LANE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132006
0900 UTC FRI SEP 15 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LANE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) 4(11) 4(15)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 2 16(18) 36(54) 10(64) 5(69) X(69) 2(71)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X 2( 2) 14(16) 7(23) 3(26) X(26) 1(27)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 2 18(20) 38(58) 9(67) 5(72) 1(73) 1(74)
SAN JOSE CABO 50 X 2( 2) 19(21) 7(28) 3(31) X(31) 1(32)
SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) 1(12) X(12) 1(13)
LA PAZ 34 1 6( 7) 29(36) 15(51) 7(58) 3(61) 2(63)
LA PAZ 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 9(17) 5(22) 2(24) 1(25)
LA PAZ 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
LORETO 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 11(17) 11(28) 6(34) 3(37)
LORETO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8)
P PENASCO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 5(10) 2(12)
BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 4( 9) 4(13)
BAHIA KINO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 7(13) 7(20) 3(23)
GUAYMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5)
HUATABAMPO 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 13(19) 11(30) 6(36) 3(39)
HUATABAMPO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) 1(11)
HUATABAMPO 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
LOS MOCHIS 34 X 3( 3) 14(17) 18(35) 11(46) 4(50) 1(51)
LOS MOCHIS 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 6(15) 1(16) 1(17)
LOS MOCHIS 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
CULICAN 34 1 6( 7) 30(37) 17(54) 8(62) 3(65) 1(66)
CULICAN 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 12(20) 5(25) 2(27) 1(28)
CULICAN 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 3(12) 1(13) 1(14)
MAZATLAN 34 2 26(28) 12(40) 2(42) 2(44) 1(45) X(45)
MAZATLAN 50 X 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) 1(10)
SAN BLAS 34 14 15(29) 3(32) 1(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34)
SAN BLAS 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
P VALLARTA 34 35 5(40) 1(41) 1(42) X(42) 1(43) X(43)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 16 3(19) 1(20) X(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21)
MANZANILLO 34 4 3( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 2 2( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) 1(10)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 52 27(79) 2(81) X(81) 1(82) X(82) X(82)
ISLAS MARIAS 50 6 24(30) 2(32) X(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33)
ISLAS MARIAS 64 1 10(11) 1(12) X(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 204N 1068W 34 92 4(96) 1(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
12 204N 1068W 50 47 19(66) 1(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67)
12 204N 1068W 64 16 11(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
24 219N 1078W 34 15 66(81) 8(89) 1(90) X(90) 1(91) X(91)
24 219N 1078W 50 1 41(42) 13(55) 1(56) 1(57) X(57) X(57)
24 219N 1078W 64 X 17(17) 10(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
36 232N 1089W 34 2 31(33) 37(70) 7(77) 2(79) 1(80) 1(81)
36 232N 1089W 50 X 6( 6) 28(34) 7(41) 2(43) 1(44) X(44)
36 232N 1089W 64 X 2( 2) 13(15) 5(20) 1(21) 1(22) X(22)
48 245N 1094W 34 1 7( 8) 34(42) 16(58) 7(65) 2(67) 2(69)
48 245N 1094W 50 X 1( 1) 11(12) 13(25) 5(30) 2(32) 1(33)
48 245N 1094W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 2(12) 2(14) X(14)
72 255N 1095W 34 X 3( 3) 18(21) 20(41) 10(51) 5(56) 1(57)
72 255N 1095W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 6(18) 2(20) 1(21)
72 255N 1095W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) 1(10)
96 270N 1095W 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 12(17) 9(26) 7(33) 3(36)
96 270N 1095W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8)
96 270N 1095W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
120 280N 1090W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 6(13) 5(18) 2(20)
120 280N 1090W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
120 280N 1090W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 65 75 80 75 70 55 40
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB
NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 15-Sep-2006 08:55:03 UTC