ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL
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TROPICAL STORM LANE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132006
0300 UTC FRI SEP 15 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LANE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) 2(11)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 1 7( 8) 26(34) 21(55) 11(66) 2(68) X(68)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 13(20) 9(29) 2(31) X(31)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 5(12) X(12) X(12)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 1 7( 8) 26(34) 23(57) 10(67) 2(69) X(69)
SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 14(22) 8(30) 1(31) 1(32)
SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 5(13) X(13) 1(14)
LA PAZ 34 X 3( 3) 12(15) 20(35) 14(49) 4(53) 1(54)
LA PAZ 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 10(18) 1(19) X(19)
LA PAZ 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) 1( 7)
LORETO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 11(18) 5(23) 2(25)
LORETO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6)
HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7)
BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 2( 9)
GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 4(12) 1(13)
HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 12(18) 4(22) 2(24)
HUATABAMPO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5)
LOS MOCHIS 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 10(15) 14(29) 4(33) 1(34)
LOS MOCHIS 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) X( 8)
LOS MOCHIS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CULICAN 34 X 3( 3) 11(14) 17(31) 14(45) 3(48) 1(49)
CULICAN 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 9(15) 1(16) 1(17)
CULICAN 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
MAZATLAN 34 3 10(13) 17(30) 8(38) 5(43) 1(44) X(44)
MAZATLAN 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
SAN BLAS 34 9 21(30) 8(38) 3(41) 2(43) 1(44) X(44)
SAN BLAS 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
P VALLARTA 34 36 17(53) 3(56) 1(57) 2(59) X(59) X(59)
P VALLARTA 50 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 71 3(74) 1(75) X(75) 1(76) X(76) X(76)
BARRA NAVIDAD 50 2 X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MANZANILLO 34 54 2(56) 1(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57)
L CARDENAS 34 4 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ZIHUATANEJO 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 2 4( 6) 4(10) 3(13) 4(17) 1(18) 1(19)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 15 43(58) 11(69) 3(72) 2(74) X(74) X(74)
ISLAS MARIAS 50 X 13(13) 10(23) 2(25) X(25) 1(26) X(26)
ISLAS MARIAS 64 X 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 192N 1063W 34 93 4(97) 1(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
12 192N 1063W 50 49 19(68) X(68) 1(69) X(69) X(69) X(69)
12 192N 1063W 64 15 12(27) X(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
24 206N 1074W 34 27 57(84) 7(91) 1(92) 1(93) X(93) X(93)
24 206N 1074W 50 1 43(44) 11(55) 2(57) 1(58) X(58) X(58)
24 206N 1074W 64 X 19(19) 8(27) 1(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29)
36 218N 1083W 34 4 39(43) 30(73) 9(82) 3(85) X(85) 1(86)
36 218N 1083W 50 X 8( 8) 28(36) 9(45) 2(47) 1(48) X(48)
36 218N 1083W 64 X 2( 2) 14(16) 5(21) 2(23) X(23) X(23)
48 228N 1093W 34 2 10(12) 32(44) 20(64) 9(73) 1(74) 1(75)
48 228N 1093W 50 X 1( 1) 12(13) 16(29) 7(36) 1(37) X(37)
48 228N 1093W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 4(16) 1(17) X(17)
72 240N 1100W 34 X 4( 4) 15(19) 22(41) 14(55) 3(58) 1(59)
72 240N 1100W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 10(20) 1(21) X(21)
72 240N 1100W 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
96 250N 1105W 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 15(22) 16(38) 4(42) 1(43)
96 250N 1105W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 8(12) 2(14) X(14)
96 250N 1105W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
120 265N 1105W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 11(19) 5(24) 2(26)
120 265N 1105W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7)
120 265N 1105W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 65 75 80 85 70 65 55
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/STEWART
NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 15-Sep-2006 03:35:03 UTC