Hurricane LANE

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HURRICANE LANE ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132006
800 PM PDT FRI SEP 15 2006

...HURRICANE LANE HAMMERING ISLA MARIAS...
 
AT 800 PM PDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE COAST OF THE
MEXICAN MAINLAND SOUTH OF CABO CORRIENTES.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT SOUTH OF EL ROBLITO TO
CABO CORRIENTES.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN
MAINLAND FROM EL ROBLITO TO ALTATA.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
SOUTH OF AGUA BLANCA ON THE PACIFIC COAST AND SOUTH OF BUENA VISTA
ON THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST.  A HURRICANE WARNING ALSO REMAINS
IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLAS MARIAS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN
MAINLAND NORTH OF ALTATA TO HUATABAMPITO....AND FOR THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTH OF BUENA VISTA TO LORETO.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 800 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LANE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 21.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.8 WEST OR ABOUT 115 MILES
...185 KM...NORTHWEST OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO AND ABOUT 215 MILES
...345 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO.
 
LANE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. 
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  THE EYE OF HURRICANE
LANE IS FORECAST TO REMAIN OFFSHORE OF MAINLAND MEXICO DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.  HOWEVER...ANY DEVIATION TO THE RIGHT OF THE
FORECAST TRACK COULD BRING HURRICANE CONDITIONS NEAR THE COAST.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.    THIS MAKES LANE A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND LANE IS EXPECTED BECOME A
MAJOR HURRICANE ON SATURDAY.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES CAN BE
EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW NEAR THE PATH OF THE CENTER OF
LANE.

TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG
THE WEST CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO...FROM COLIMA TO PUERTO VALLARTA
AND CULIACAN...AND OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA.  ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 TO 25 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
MOUNTAINOUS AREAS OF WEST CENTRAL MEXICO.  THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 800 PM PDT POSITION...21.7 N...106.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1100 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200
AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/STEWART
 
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