ZCZC MIATCMEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM LANE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132006 1500 UTC FRI SEP 15 2006 AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF AGUA BLANCA ON THE PACIFIC COAST AND SOUTH OF BUENA VISTA ON THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST. A HURRICANE WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLAS MARIAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO LA CRUZ. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM MANZANILLO TO LA CRUZ. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS AREA LATER TODAY. AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA NORTH OF LA CRUZ TO HUATABAMPITO....AND FOR THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTH OF BUENA VISTA TO LORETO. AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS SOUTH OF MANZANILLO. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 106.2W AT 15/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 90SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 120SE 120SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 106.2W AT 15/1500Z AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 106.0W FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 20.9N 107.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 22.3N 108.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 23.4N 108.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 24.3N 109.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 25.5N 109.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT... 90NE 120SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 26.5N 109.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 28.0N 108.5W...INLAND DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 106.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 15-Sep-2006 14:40:03 UTC