ZCZC MIATCMEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM LANE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132006 0900 UTC FRI SEP 15 2006 AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH WITH A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE ISLAS MARIAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. AT 200 AM PDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM EL ROBLITO NORTHWARD TO LA CRUZ. AT 200 AM PDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CANCELED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO SOUTHWARD TO LAZARO CARDENAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LA CRUZ. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AT 200 AM PDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM LA CRUZ TO ALTATA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM BUENA VISTA SOUTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST AND FROM AGUA BLANCA SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 106.0W AT 15/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 75SE 90SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 120SE 120SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 106.0W AT 15/0900Z AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 105.7W FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 20.4N 106.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 90SE 90SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 21.9N 107.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 23.2N 108.9W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 24.5N 109.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 25.5N 109.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 27.0N 109.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 28.0N 109.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 106.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z $$ FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Friday, 15-Sep-2006 08:55:03 UTC