ZCZC MIATCMEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM LANE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132006 0300 UTC FRI SEP 15 2006 AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM BUENA VISTA SOUTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST...AND FROM AGUA BLANCA SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM LAZARO CARDENAS NORTHWARD TO EL ROBLITO...INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLAS MARIAS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MANZANILLO NORTHWARD TO CABO CORRIENTES. INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND ELSEWHERE ALONG THE COAST OF NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LANE. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 105.3W AT 15/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 75NE 120SE 120SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 120SE 120SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 105.3W AT 15/0300Z AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 104.9W FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 19.2N 106.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 120SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 20.6N 107.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 21.8N 108.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 22.8N 109.3W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 24.0N 110.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 25.0N 110.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 26.5N 110.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 105.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS/STEWART NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 15-Sep-2006 02:40:03 UTC