Tropical Storm LANE

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TROPICAL STORM LANE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132006
2100 UTC THU SEP 14 2006
 
AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ADJUSTED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING...WHICH NOW EXTENDS FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO
EL ROBLITO...AND INCLUDES THE ISLAS MARIAS.
 
AT 2 PM PDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH
FOR THE ISLAS MARIAS. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM
MANZANILLO TO CABO CORREIENTES. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND ELSEWHERE ALONG THE COAST
OF NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LANE.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 105.2W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE 120SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 120SE 120SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 105.2W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 104.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 18.8N 106.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 120SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 20.1N 107.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 21.3N 108.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 22.3N 109.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 24.5N 110.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 26.0N 111.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 27.0N 111.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 105.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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