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Tropical Depression KRISTY (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  32      
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122006               
2100 UTC WED SEP 06 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 166N 1298W 34 15   5(20)   1(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 12 166N 1298W 50  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 12 166N 1298W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 168N 1319W 34  1  15(16)   6(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 24 168N 1319W 50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 24 168N 1319W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 168N 1341W 34  X   2( 2)  12(14)   5(19)   1(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 36 168N 1341W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 36 168N 1341W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 48 169N 1358W 34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   9(13)   6(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 48 169N 1358W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 48 169N 1358W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 170N 1390W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   3(13)   1(14)
 72 170N 1390W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 72 170N 1390W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 170N 1420W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   2( 8)
 96 170N 1420W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 96 170N 1420W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 170N 1445W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)
120 170N 1445W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
120 170N 1445W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     30      30      30      30      25      25
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER ROBERTS/FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                

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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:44 UTC