ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 31 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122006 1500 UTC WED SEP 06 2006 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 126.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 175N 1289W 34 31 14(45) X(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) 12 175N 1289W 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 12 175N 1289W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 179N 1312W 34 1 33(34) 8(42) 1(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) 24 179N 1312W 50 X 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 24 179N 1312W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 180N 1332W 34 X 7( 7) 21(28) 7(35) 2(37) X(37) X(37) 36 180N 1332W 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 36 180N 1332W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 180N 1349W 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 13(23) 5(28) 1(29) X(29) 48 180N 1349W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 48 180N 1349W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 72 180N 1380W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 9(12) 3(15) 1(16) 72 180N 1380W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 72 180N 1380W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 180N 1410W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) 96 180N 1410W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 180N 1410W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 180N 1435W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 120 180N 1435W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 120 180N 1435W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 40 40 40 30 25 25 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS/FRANKLIN NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:44 UTC