ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 27 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122006 1500 UTC TUE SEP 05 2006 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 121.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 167N 1230W 34 31 6(37) X(37) 1(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) 12 167N 1230W 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 12 167N 1230W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 171N 1251W 34 1 22(23) 7(30) 1(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) 24 171N 1251W 50 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 24 171N 1251W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 175N 1270W 34 X 4( 4) 16(20) 5(25) 2(27) 1(28) X(28) 36 175N 1270W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 36 175N 1270W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 175N 1285W 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 9(17) 6(23) 1(24) X(24) 48 175N 1285W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 48 175N 1285W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 72 175N 1315W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 9(12) 4(16) 1(17) 72 175N 1315W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 72 175N 1315W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 175N 1345W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 2(12) 96 175N 1345W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 96 175N 1345W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 175N 1375W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 120 175N 1375W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 120 175N 1375W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/STEWART NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:44 UTC