Hurricane KRISTY

ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122006               
1500 UTC THU AUG 31 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR.                                        
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ISLA CLARION   34  3   3( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 185N 1173W 34 92   4(96)   1(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
 12 185N 1173W 50 61  13(74)   1(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)
 12 185N 1173W 64 22  11(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
 
 24 193N 1184W 34 29  51(80)   6(86)   2(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)
 24 193N 1184W 50  3  41(44)   8(52)   1(53)   1(54)   X(54)   X(54)
 24 193N 1184W 64  X  17(17)   5(22)   1(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 
 36 199N 1196W 34  2  40(42)  23(65)   4(69)   2(71)   X(71)   X(71)
 36 199N 1196W 50  X  10(10)  20(30)   4(34)   1(35)   X(35)   X(35)
 36 199N 1196W 64  X   3( 3)   8(11)   2(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
 48 200N 1205W 34  2  14(16)  30(46)   7(53)   4(57)   1(58)   X(58)
 48 200N 1205W 50  X   2( 2)  14(16)   6(22)   1(23)   X(23)   1(24)
 48 200N 1205W 64  X   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
 
 72 200N 1215W 34  1   5( 6)  20(26)  11(37)   5(42)   1(43)   X(43)
 72 200N 1215W 50  X   X( X)   5( 5)   4( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 72 200N 1215W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 96 200N 1220W 34  1   3( 4)  14(18)  11(29)   6(35)   1(36)   X(36)
 96 200N 1220W 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 96 200N 1220W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
120 200N 1225W 34  X   3( 3)   9(12)   9(21)   6(27)   2(29)   X(29)
120 200N 1225W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
120 200N 1225W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     70     75      70      60      45      35      25
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
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