ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122006 0900 UTC THU AUG 31 2006 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 3 4( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 182N 1169W 34 90 5(95) 1(96) X(96) 1(97) X(97) X(97) 12 182N 1169W 50 64 12(76) 1(77) 1(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) 12 182N 1169W 64 27 12(39) 1(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) 24 189N 1179W 34 28 50(78) 7(85) 1(86) 1(87) X(87) X(87) 24 189N 1179W 50 5 42(47) 8(55) 2(57) 1(58) X(58) X(58) 24 189N 1179W 64 1 20(21) 6(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) 36 195N 1191W 34 2 36(38) 27(65) 5(70) 2(72) 1(73) X(73) 36 195N 1191W 50 X 10(10) 23(33) 4(37) 1(38) X(38) X(38) 36 195N 1191W 64 X 3( 3) 11(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) 48 199N 1200W 34 1 11(12) 33(45) 9(54) 4(58) 1(59) X(59) 48 199N 1200W 50 X 2( 2) 16(18) 7(25) 2(27) 1(28) X(28) 48 199N 1200W 64 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 72 200N 1210W 34 1 4( 5) 21(26) 12(38) 6(44) 2(46) X(46) 72 200N 1210W 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) 4(15) X(15) X(15) 72 200N 1210W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 96 200N 1215W 34 X 3( 3) 14(17) 12(29) 8(37) 1(38) X(38) 96 200N 1215W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) 96 200N 1215W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 120 200N 1220W 34 X 2( 2) 9(11) 10(21) 8(29) 2(31) X(31) 120 200N 1220W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 120 200N 1220W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 75 80 75 65 50 40 30 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER KNABB NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:44 UTC