ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122006 2100 UTC WED AUG 30 2006 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 175N 1164W 34 84 8(92) 1(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) 12 175N 1164W 50 44 16(60) 2(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) 12 175N 1164W 64 12 5(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) 24 182N 1177W 34 10 57(67) 11(78) 2(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) 24 182N 1177W 50 1 30(31) 10(41) 2(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) 24 182N 1177W 64 X 11(11) 5(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) 36 189N 1190W 34 1 24(25) 35(60) 7(67) 3(70) 1(71) X(71) 36 189N 1190W 50 X 4( 4) 21(25) 6(31) 2(33) X(33) X(33) 36 189N 1190W 64 X 1( 1) 10(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) 48 195N 1205W 34 X 4( 4) 26(30) 18(48) 9(57) 1(58) X(58) 48 195N 1205W 50 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 12(19) 5(24) X(24) X(24) 48 195N 1205W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) 72 200N 1230W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 11(14) 17(31) 4(35) 1(36) 72 200N 1230W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 2(11) X(11) 72 200N 1230W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 96 195N 1250W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 12(14) 5(19) 1(20) 96 195N 1250W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 96 195N 1250W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 120 190N 1270W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) 120 190N 1270W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 120 190N 1270W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 60 65 70 65 55 45 35 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER PASCH NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:44 UTC