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Tropical Storm KRISTY (Text)

ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2           
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122006               
0900 UTC WED AUG 30 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ISLA CLARION   34  X   4( 4)   4( 8)   4(12)   1(13)   1(14)   X(14)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 170N 1154W 34 44  11(55)   3(58)   2(60)   X(60)   X(60)   1(61)
 12 170N 1154W 50  5   2( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 12 170N 1154W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 176N 1164W 34  3  33(36)  11(47)   5(52)   2(54)   X(54)   X(54)
 24 176N 1164W 50  X   8( 8)   6(14)   2(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 24 176N 1164W 64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 36 182N 1176W 34  X   9( 9)  30(39)  12(51)   4(55)   X(55)   1(56)
 36 182N 1176W 50  X   1( 1)  10(11)   7(18)   2(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 36 182N 1176W 64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
 48 187N 1188W 34  X   2( 2)  18(20)  22(42)  10(52)   X(52)   1(53)
 48 187N 1188W 50  X   X( X)   5( 5)   9(14)   5(19)   1(20)   X(20)
 48 187N 1188W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
 
 72 195N 1210W 34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  11(14)  18(32)   6(38)   1(39)
 72 195N 1210W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)   2(12)   X(12)
 72 195N 1210W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
 
 96 200N 1235W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)   7(19)   2(21)
 96 200N 1235W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 96 200N 1235W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
120 200N 1260W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   3(10)
120 200N 1260W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
120 200N 1260W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     40     45      55      65      55      45      40
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER STEWART                                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
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