ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122006 0900 UTC WED AUG 30 2006 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 X 4( 4) 4( 8) 4(12) 1(13) 1(14) X(14) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 170N 1154W 34 44 11(55) 3(58) 2(60) X(60) X(60) 1(61) 12 170N 1154W 50 5 2( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 12 170N 1154W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 176N 1164W 34 3 33(36) 11(47) 5(52) 2(54) X(54) X(54) 24 176N 1164W 50 X 8( 8) 6(14) 2(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) 24 176N 1164W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 36 182N 1176W 34 X 9( 9) 30(39) 12(51) 4(55) X(55) 1(56) 36 182N 1176W 50 X 1( 1) 10(11) 7(18) 2(20) X(20) X(20) 36 182N 1176W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 48 187N 1188W 34 X 2( 2) 18(20) 22(42) 10(52) X(52) 1(53) 48 187N 1188W 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 9(14) 5(19) 1(20) X(20) 48 187N 1188W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 72 195N 1210W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 18(32) 6(38) 1(39) 72 195N 1210W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 2(12) X(12) 72 195N 1210W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 96 200N 1235W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 7(19) 2(21) 96 200N 1235W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 96 200N 1235W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 120 200N 1260W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10) 120 200N 1260W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 120 200N 1260W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 40 45 55 65 55 45 40 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER STEWART NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:44 UTC