Hurricane KRISTY

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HURRICANE KRISTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122006
0900 UTC THU AUG 31 2006
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 116.1W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 116.1W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 115.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 18.2N 116.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 18.9N 117.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 19.5N 119.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 19.9N 120.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 20.0N 121.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 20.0N 121.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 20.0N 122.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 116.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB/MUNDELL
 
 
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