Tropical Storm KRISTY

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TROPICAL STORM KRISTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122006
2100 UTC WED AUG 30 2006
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 115.6W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 115.6W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 115.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 17.5N 116.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 18.2N 117.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 18.9N 119.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 19.5N 120.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 20.0N 123.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 19.5N 125.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 19.0N 127.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 115.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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