Tropical Storm JOHN

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JOHN ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112006
200 PM PDT SUN SEP 03 2006

...JOHN BARELY A TROPICAL STORM BUT STILL CAUSING HEAVY RAINS...
 
AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
 
AT 2 PM PDT... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING ON THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH
OF MULEGE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST
COAST OF THE PENINSULA FROM BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES TO MULEGE. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MOISTURE FROM JOHN WILL BE SPREADING INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED
STATES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC
TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 200 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOHN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.7 WEST OR ABOUT 30
MILES... 50 KM...NORTHWEST OF SANTA ROSALIA MEXICO AND ABOUT 145
MILES...235 KM...EAST OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO.
 
JOHN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR.  ON THIS
TRACK JOHN IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA TODAY
AND TONIGHT.  
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  FURTHER WEAKENING IS LIKELY AND JOHN
SHOULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY
TOMORROW.
 
JOHN IS A SMALL TROPICAL CYCLONE.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM
TOTALS UP TO 18 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL BAJA
PENINSULA. NORTHWESTERN MEXICO COULD RECEIVE 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN
WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN. MOISTURE FROM JOHN COULD HELP PRODUCE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF
RAIN OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES AND WESTERN TEXAS THROUGH
MONDAY.
 
REPEATING THE 200 PM PDT POSITION...27.6 N...112.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 500 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800
PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN
 
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