ZCZC MIATCMEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE JOHN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112006 1500 UTC SAT SEP 02 2006 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM MULEGE SOUTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST...AND FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF MULEGE TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA...AND FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO GUAYMAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN AND NEAR THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...BAJA CALIFORNIA....AND NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JOHN. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 110.8W AT 02/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 15SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 75NE 60SE 25SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 175SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 110.8W AT 02/1500Z AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 110.5W FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 25.3N 111.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 15SW 20NW. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 25SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 26.4N 112.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 27.5N 113.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 28.5N 115.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 29.5N 117.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 29.5N 119.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.5N 110.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:43 UTC