ZCZC MIATCMEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE JOHN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112006 2100 UTC THU AUG 31 2006 AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING SOUTH OF CABO CORRIENTES. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO SAN BLAS...INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THESE AREAS SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED. AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTHWARD TO SAN EVERISTO ON THE EAST COAST...AND NORTHWARD TO BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA FROM SAN EVERISTO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...AND FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SAN BLAS TO MAZATLAN MEXICO. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 107.0W AT 31/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 15SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 120SE 120SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 107.0W AT 31/2100Z AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 106.6W FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 21.8N 108.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 15SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 22.8N 109.4W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 23.5N 110.7W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 24.1N 112.2W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 24.7N 115.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 25.0N 119.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 25.0N 123.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N 107.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI/PASCH NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:43 UTC