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Hurricane JOHN


ZCZC MIATCMEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE JOHN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112006
0900 UTC WED AUG 30 2006
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE WEST COAST OF MEXICO
FROM LAZARO CARDENAS WESTWARD TO LA FORTUNA.  A HURRICANE WARNING
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TECPAN DE GALEANA TO LAZARO
CARDENAS AND ALSO FROM LA FORTUNA TO CABO CORRIENTES.  A HURRICANE
WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTO MALDONADO TO
LAZARO CARDENAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
  
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 101.3W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  962 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......110NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 120SE 100SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 101.3W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 100.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 16.5N 102.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 18.0N 104.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 65NE  50SE  50SW  65NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 19.5N 106.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 65NE  50SE  50SW  65NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 20.9N 107.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  60SE  60SW  65NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 22.2N 110.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  60SE  60SW  65NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 22.8N 114.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 23.0N 118.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 101.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/STEWART
 
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:43 UTC