ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE ILEANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102006 0300 UTC FRI AUG 25 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ILEANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 218N 1168W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 218N 1168W 50 82 5(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) 12 218N 1168W 64 39 8(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) 24 223N 1178W 34 65 18(83) 2(85) X(85) 1(86) X(86) X(86) 24 223N 1178W 50 18 30(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) 24 223N 1178W 64 3 11(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) 36 226N 1188W 34 18 33(51) 8(59) 2(61) 1(62) X(62) X(62) 36 226N 1188W 50 2 13(15) 4(19) 2(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) 36 226N 1188W 64 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 48 228N 1200W 34 5 14(19) 9(28) 5(33) 2(35) 1(36) X(36) 48 228N 1200W 50 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 48 228N 1200W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 72 225N 1220W 34 2 3( 5) 3( 8) 2(10) 4(14) 1(15) X(15) 72 225N 1220W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 225N 1220W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 220N 1245W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 96 220N 1245W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 220N 1245W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 70 60 45 35 25 20 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER COBB/KNABB NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:43 UTC