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Hurricane ILEANA (Text)

ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE ILEANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP102006               
2100 UTC THU AUG 24 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ILEANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
85 KTS...100 MPH...160 KM/HR.                                       
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ISLA CLARION   34  5   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 214N 1165W 34 96   2(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
 12 214N 1165W 50 84   4(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)
 12 214N 1165W 64 46   9(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)
 
 24 221N 1176W 34 61  21(82)   2(84)   X(84)   1(85)   X(85)   X(85)
 24 221N 1176W 50 16  31(47)   1(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)
 24 221N 1176W 64  2  13(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
 36 225N 1185W 34 17  34(51)   7(58)   2(60)   1(61)   X(61)   X(61)
 36 225N 1185W 50  3  13(16)   4(20)   1(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 36 225N 1185W 64  X   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
 48 226N 1196W 34  6  15(21)   8(29)   4(33)   2(35)   X(35)   X(35)
 48 226N 1196W 50  1   2( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 48 226N 1196W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
 72 227N 1214W 34  2   5( 7)   2( 9)   4(13)   3(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 72 227N 1214W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 72 227N 1214W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 225N 1235W 34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 96 225N 1235W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 96 225N 1235W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     80     60      45      35      25      20       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BRENNAN/FRANKLIN                                          
                                                                    
                                                                    
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