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Tropical Storm ILEANA
ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ILEANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102006
0300 UTC TUE AUG 22 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ILEANA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MANZANILLO 34 X 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 3( 3) 30(33) 33(66) 7(73) 1(74) X(74)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 22(26) 7(33) 1(34) X(34)
ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 4(14) X(14) X(14)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 22(26) 30(56) 3(59) 1(60)
ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 21(26) 1(27) 1(28)
ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) X(10)
CLIPPERTON IS 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 141N 1060W 34 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 141N 1060W 50 44 21(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65)
12 141N 1060W 64 4 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
24 151N 1083W 34 26 65(91) 4(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
24 151N 1083W 50 X 53(53) 13(66) 1(67) X(67) X(67) X(67)
24 151N 1083W 64 X 16(16) 9(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
36 166N 1102W 34 1 32(33) 47(80) 10(90) 1(91) X(91) X(91)
36 166N 1102W 50 X 2( 2) 41(43) 12(55) 2(57) X(57) X(57)
36 166N 1102W 64 X X( X) 17(17) 9(26) 2(28) X(28) X(28)
48 180N 1122W 34 X 3( 3) 28(31) 37(68) 14(82) 1(83) X(83)
48 180N 1122W 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 30(35) 12(47) 1(48) X(48)
48 180N 1122W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 8(22) X(22) X(22)
72 200N 1155W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 37(48) 9(57) 1(58)
72 200N 1155W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 17(19) 5(24) 1(25)
72 200N 1155W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) X(11)
96 210N 1185W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 17(31) 1(32)
96 210N 1185W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9)
96 210N 1185W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
120 220N 1210W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 3(15)
120 220N 1210W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
120 220N 1210W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 55 70 80 90 85 70 45
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER STEWART/LANDSEA
NNNN
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