Hurricane ILEANA

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HURRICANE ILEANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP102006
1500 UTC WED AUG 23 2006
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 111.5W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 125 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......125NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 200SE 100SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 111.5W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 111.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 19.0N 113.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...145NE 120SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 20.0N 115.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 20.8N 116.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 21.3N 118.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  60SE  60SW  65NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 105SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 22.0N 119.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 22.5N 121.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 22.5N 122.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 111.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB
 
 
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