| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

---

Tropical Depression ILEANA (Text)

ZCZC MIATCDEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ILEANA DISCUSSION NUMBER  24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP102006
200 AM PDT SUN AUG 27 2006

ANY DEEP CONVECTION IS TOTALLY GONE WITH ONLY THE LOW-LEVEL SWIRL
REMAINING.  DVORAK T-NUMBERS ARE ALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM STATUS
AND THE INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 30 KT.  THE DEPRESSION MAY HAVE
ALREADY TRANSITIONED TO REMNANT LOW STATUS BUT WE WILL KEEP
ADVISORIES GOING FOR ONE MORE CYCLE.  ILEANA WILL LIKELY TRANSITION
INTO A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY DUE TO CONTINUED COLD WATER
INFLUENCES.  THE INTENSITY FORECAST ASSUMES A SLOW SPINDOWN OF THE
VORTEX.  THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASICALLY UNCHANGED ON THE NORTHERN
SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE. 
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      27/0900Z 23.4N 120.1W    30 KT
 12HR VT     27/1800Z 23.6N 121.1W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 24HR VT     28/0600Z 23.7N 122.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     28/1800Z 23.7N 124.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     29/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/STEWART
 
NNNN