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Tropical Storm HECTOR


ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  23           
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092006               
0900 UTC MON AUG 21 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 135.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 218N 1360W 34 11   2(13)   1(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 12 218N 1360W 50  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 12 218N 1360W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 223N 1369W 34  3   5( 8)   2(10)   1(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 24 223N 1369W 50  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 24 223N 1369W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 226N 1379W 34  X   3( 3)   4( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 36 226N 1379W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 36 226N 1379W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 230N 1393W 34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 48 230N 1393W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 48 230N 1393W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 72 236N 1425W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 72 236N 1425W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 72 236N 1425W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     25     20      20      20      20       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER HSM FORECASTER                                           
                                                                    
                                                                    
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