Tropical Storm GILMA
ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM GILMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082006
0300 UTC WED AUG 02 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9) 1(10) X(10)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) 4(22) 1(23)
ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 151N 1068W 34 52 4(56) 1(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57)
12 151N 1068W 50 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
12 151N 1068W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 154N 1081W 34 5 30(35) 9(44) 2(46) X(46) X(46) X(46)
24 154N 1081W 50 X 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
24 154N 1081W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 157N 1097W 34 X 7( 7) 25(32) 7(39) 3(42) X(42) X(42)
36 157N 1097W 50 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)
36 157N 1097W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 160N 1115W 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 17(27) 8(35) 1(36) X(36)
48 160N 1115W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
48 160N 1115W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
72 175N 1150W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 16(19) 4(23) 1(24)
72 175N 1150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
72 175N 1150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
96 190N 1170W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) 1(14)
96 190N 1170W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
96 190N 1170W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 210N 1195W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7)
120 210N 1195W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 210N 1195W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 40 45 45 45 35 30
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB
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