Tropical Storm GILMA

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TROPICAL STORM GILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP082006
2100 UTC TUE AUG 01 2006
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 105.6W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE   0SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE   0SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 105.6W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 105.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.0N 106.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 15.3N 107.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 15.7N 109.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 16.0N 111.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 65NE  50SE  50SW  65NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 17.0N 114.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 18.5N 117.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 21.0N 119.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 105.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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