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Tropical Depression GILMA


ZCZC MIATCDEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GILMA DISCUSSION NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP082006
200 PM PDT THU AUG 03 2006
 
A 1254Z HIGH RESOLUTION QUIKSCAT PASS SHOWS THAT EXCEPT FOR SOME
HIGHER RAIN-FLAGGED VECTORS EMBEDDED WITHIN AN EARLIER THUNDERSTORM
CLUSTER...WINDS AROUND GILMA ARE NO MORE THAN ABOUT 20 KT. THE
LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY ILL-DEFINED...AND THE
RECENT FORMATION OF A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM
NORTH OF THE CENTER SUGGESTS THAT THE CIRCULATION IS BEGINNING A
TRANSITION INTO AN OPEN TROUGH. THEREFORE...THIS WILL BE THE LAST
ADVISORY ISSUED ON GILMA. THE REMNANT LOW OR TROUGH WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS...POSSIBLY
PRODUCING OCCASIONAL BURSTS OF CONVECTION AS IT REMAINS OVER WARM
WATER.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      03/2100Z 16.0N 110.1W    20 KT...DISSIPATING
 12HR VT     04/0600Z 17.0N 111.3W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 24HR VT     04/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG/PASCH
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:42 UTC