Tropical Storm FABIO

ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM FABIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8            
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072006               
1500 UTC WED AUG 02 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FABIO WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 131.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   1(12)   X(12)
 
BUOY 50004     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
 
SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 150N 1333W 34 49   7(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)
 12 150N 1333W 50  5   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 12 150N 1333W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 153N 1361W 34  1  22(23)   6(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
 24 153N 1361W 50  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 24 153N 1361W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 156N 1388W 34  X   2( 2)  17(19)   7(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
 36 156N 1388W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 36 156N 1388W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 48 160N 1415W 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  14(16)   5(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 48 160N 1415W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 48 160N 1415W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 160N 1470W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   2(11)   X(11)
 72 160N 1470W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 72 160N 1470W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 160N 1520W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)
 96 160N 1520W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 96 160N 1520W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 160N 1565W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
120 160N 1565W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
120 160N 1565W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     40     35      35      35      30      25      25
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER RHOME/PASCH                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN