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Tropical Storm FABIO (Text)

ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM FABIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6            
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072006               
0300 UTC WED AUG 02 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FABIO WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 14.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 128.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   4(10)   1(11)
 
20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
BUOY 50004     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 149N 1302W 34 63   9(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)
 12 149N 1302W 50 10   3(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 12 149N 1302W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 153N 1330W 34  1  41(42)   7(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)
 24 153N 1330W 50  X   8( 8)   2(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 24 153N 1330W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 156N 1357W 34  X   3( 3)  22(25)   8(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
 36 156N 1357W 50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 36 156N 1357W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 48 160N 1385W 34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  17(20)   6(26)   X(26)   X(26)
 48 160N 1385W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 48 160N 1385W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
 72 160N 1440W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   3(14)   X(14)
 72 160N 1440W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 72 160N 1440W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 160N 1495W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)
 96 160N 1495W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 96 160N 1495W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 160N 1540W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
120 160N 1540W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
120 160N 1540W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     45     45      40      40      35      25      25
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
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